UK CAPE forecast GFS map chart animation for the next 9 days

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What on earth is CAPE ?

Some people love thunderstorms and some hate them... it's pretty much a way of life.

However, during summer months the risk of large and damaging thunderstorms and tornadoes increases. These charts go out to the next 16 days showing you the risk of thunderstorms and tornadoes across the country.

Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) is measure of the amount of energy available for convection. CAPE is directly related to the maximum potential vertical speed within an updraft; thus, higher values indicate greater potential for severe weather. Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and Lifted Index (LI) charts are used to forecast the likelihood of thunderstorms. Forecast CAPE values are shown by the coloured shading with yellows, oranges and reds indicating a progressively increasing chance of thunderstorms. LI is shown by the contours with values below 0 indicating greater instability and an increasing chance of thunderstorms

We create and upload these images four times a day and begin updating at 6.30am, 12.30pm, 6.30pm and 12.30am (BST) and take approx 110 mins to complete.
Well, you did ask !


South West Warnings

    No weather warnings have been issued for the South West at this time.

On This Day ...
Record Temperatures On This Date
Record High
23.9°C- 2018
Record Low
-1.2°C - 2021

Moon & Sun Forecast

Sunrise
6:04 am
Sunset
8:10 pm
Day Length
14:06 hrs
Waning Gibbous, Moon at 19 days in cycle
Moonrise
1:55 am
Moonset
8:04 am
Visibility
75%
There will be 3 mins 49sec more daylight tomorrow
Moon Phase:Waning Gibbous

Climate Extremes

Friday 18 April
High Temp11.9°C12:28 PM
Low Temp5.8°C12:35 AM
Rain Today 0.9 mm8:40 AM
High UV2.0 10:05 AM
Max Gust24.2 mph12:50 PM
Min Windchill11.1°C12:00 AM
So far this month
High Temp22.2°C12/4/2025
Low Temp0.2°C17/4/2025
Wettest Day2.3mm15/4/2025
High UV10.013/4/2025
Max Gust35.4mph16/4/2025
Min Windchill-1.2°C7/4/2025
So far this year
High Temp22.2°C12/4/2025
Low Temp-5.6°C11/1/2025
Wettest Day19.0mm26/1/2025
High UV10.013/4/2025
Max Gust38.0mph21/2/2025
Min Windchill-8.3°C11/1/2025
All time records
High Temp35.5°C18/7/2022
Low Temp-10.8°C20/12/2010
Wettest Day80.2mm20/7/2007
High UV18.013/6/2022
Max Gust62.1mph23/2/2017
Min Windchill-21.1°C15/02/1963